Real Estate Investing in the Real World
Real Estate Blog
MONDAY, JUNE 30, 2008

Jeff Brown writes a good article today on his real estate investing blog on appreciation vs. capital growth in real estate investing.  His point is that too many investors are chasing appreciation in high value markets which require large down payments to generate breakeven economics - and that by doing this they sacrifice leverage, which is the key to capital growth. 

His example, in my opinon, actually understates his case.  He compares a investor who puts $100k down (40%) on an expensive $250k property in a high value region to an investor who puts $100k (10%) down on $1 million worth of rental properties in a cheap region.  If the first market goes up by 10% then the investor makes $25k in appreciation.  But if the second market just goes up by 5%, on the other hand, then that investor makes $50k. 

The thing that jumps out at me here is that a one year 10% rise in property prices is huge.  Yeah, it's happened a lot in recent years in CA, FL, etc - but an investor who jumps in with the expectation that this will happen might as well take his down payemnt to Vegas and put it on red.  This isn't investing, it's speculating. 

Which is to say: I agree with Jeff's argument even more strongly than the example he puts out there. 

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Comments(6)
posted by: Chris Smith
Comments
July 01, 2008
12:54 PM
Thanks Chris -- and yeah, I kinda sorta thought I under sold the point. It still stood out though. The example was for breakeven properties. If the investor was starting from a cash position, i.e., not an exchange, their tax shelter would make a huge difference not only in their after tax cash flow, but in their ability to pull cash out in the future, while executing an exchange. Pretty cool stuff.

Thanks again.

By the way, Chris, if you can introduce me to a builder(s) in your area, it would be much appreciated. I'm looking for more product, and am uh, picky.
July 02, 2008
11:23 AM
Lots of good information that I never knew before. Thanks for the informative post!

Amanda 3
July 03, 2008
12:26 PM
For those who don't read Jeff's blog over the BawldGuy Talking - he's very much worth following. Good sense of humor and even better commentary.
July 06, 2008
01:29 AM
Great Blog! I have been selling real estate in Bend Oregon since 1981 and find it refreshing to find a helpful blog like yours! Keep up the good work!

http://www.bendoregonrealestateexpert.com/
July 13, 2008
08:37 AM
Hello!

I just stopped over and am enjoying reading your blogs and learning about your tools.

Thanks for making your site an awesome place to learn and share info.
July 03, 2009
12:07 AM
Keep up the good work!
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