Today the Senate passed a $300 billion housing rescue bill aimed at turning around the flagging housing market, helping homeowners avoid foreclosure, and propping up Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The fact that Senators came in on a Saturday to vote on the bill is an indicator of the importance that Capitol Hill places on the issue.
It remains to be seen who will benefit from this legislation, but one group of folks that surely are breathing a sigh of relief are the shareholders of Fannie and Freddie. It’s unlikely that these two publically traded stocks will return to their previous levels anytime soon, but this intervention at least makes it more unlikely that they’ll go belly-up.
Nationwide, foreclosure rates continue to skyrocket. RealtyTrac yesterday reported that foreclosure activity was up a whopping 14 percent in the second quarter, a rise of 121 percent over the second quarter of 2007.
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It is hoped that the passage of this regulation will soothe Wall Street’s frazzled nerves. Oil prices (too high) and housing prices (falling too fast) are surely the two most troubling elements in our fragile economic situation. Both are complex and have deep reaching tentacles. The reassuring thing about the housing picture is that, unlike oil, it is an American market – therefore Congress may have some success in turning the ship. Washington hasn’t produced any legislation on energy– neither to curb speculation nor to increase offshore drilling. Lawmakers take some lumps from the public for their inaction, but it’s probably just as well since neither approach has the potential to improve the situation. The US controls a tiny percentage of global reserves, and traders move a small percentage of barrels traded, which leads us to a troubling conclusion: the U.S. economy is just one piece in the global puzzle, and things that happen outside of our borders are going to hit us in the pocketbook here at home.
But even if we’re struggling with our oil addiction, it’s hopeful that this piece of legislation might help the housing market. Much of the impact may be psychological, however. Democrats estimate that around 400,000 households might benefit from the bill, but last quarter alone saw almost twice that number of foureclosures – around 740,000 according to RealtyTrac. But we can hope that this bill shows that Congress is willing to act if necessary, and that might be enough to get banks lending again. And that might lead to fewer foreclosures, more buyers buying, more sellers selling, a shrinking housing inventory, and eventually a recovery in prices.